Formulae for calculating Storyteller / Exalted d10 probabilities?

mardi 26 mai 2015

Greetings, all!

I've searched the web, and I can't find a transparent calculation of probabilities for Storyteller-derived Exalted dice pool successes. The results I've found seem inconsistent, and I don't think I can figure which ones are more correct. I've considered writing a brute-force calculation, but this isn't a good idea, as dice pools can easily go all the way past 20×d10.

The basic rules of dice are as follows:
Each d10 is rolled once. A result of 7,8,9 adds one success to the roll, while a result of 10 on the die adds two successes. There are no rerolls, and no subtractions.

How do I calculate the probability of each number of successes for a given dice pool?

Thanks in advance!
Formulae for calculating Storyteller / Exalted d10 probabilities?

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